Future of inbound tourism in the Netherlands 2030

Together with CELTH, we interactively developed a number of future scenarios. These scenarios map out how international visits to the Netherlands will develop in the long term. NBTC uses these scenarios to create estimations about international visitor numbers in the Netherlands up to 2030.


  • NBTC received a complete picture of inbound tourism in the Netherlands
  • Specification of international tourists differentiated by the country of origin
  • Prognosis of how inbound tourism changes when trends and developments continue to develop


  • Four scenarios that visualize the future of incoming tourism in the Netherlands:
  • 1: Global village: open worldview - political-economic disruption
  • 2: Hostility: closed worldview - political-economic disruption
  • 3: Resistance: resistance to environmental disruption
  • 4: Resilience: resilience against environmental disruption

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